Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 4.427196 4.775481 5.150597 5.586831 6.082986 6.633100 7.293889
2025-05-25 3.773752 4.236512 4.767756 5.430875 6.248342 7.239708 8.559978
2025-06-01 3.385009 3.898879 4.513984 5.319797 6.372019 7.737148 9.711970
2025-06-08 3.156265 3.710365 4.396378 5.331930 6.615614 8.385027 11.153275
2025-06-15 3.006996 3.597864 4.351336 5.416667 6.947109 9.183363 12.971302
2025-06-22 2.780357 3.363984 4.122371 5.220123 6.846136 9.319286 13.754768
2025-06-29 2.609094 3.188601 3.954598 5.087576 6.814610 9.544705 14.728113
2025-07-06 2.467452 3.042327 3.813813 4.977327 6.798165 9.782652 15.772143
2025-07-13 2.372807 2.953028 3.744299 4.962830 6.925322 10.274956 17.444928
2025-07-20 2.317602 2.913741 3.741159 5.045287 7.215153 11.097779 20.088709
2025-07-27 2.280552 2.896756 3.767510 5.173332 7.594333 12.155220 23.717412
2025-08-03 2.217817 2.839239 3.729559 5.194148 7.786294 12.879690 26.841051
2025-08-10 2.139513 2.759409 3.659283 5.166560 7.906772 13.524361 30.251185
2025-08-17 2.036870 2.640094 3.523519 5.021471 7.795420 13.654334 32.195489
2025-08-24 1.953516 2.545255 3.419938 4.922446 7.760461 13.953598 34.962571
2025-08-31 1.902011 2.495055 3.382409 4.933156 7.941364 14.808040 40.579314
2025-09-07 1.868470 2.469859 3.382172 5.008250 8.261969 16.101468 49.628224
2025-09-14 1.784585 2.364688 3.248569 4.833945 8.038327 15.898707 51.091939
2025-09-21 1.717676 2.283102 3.149475 4.716162 7.924505 15.982789 54.388920
2025-09-28 1.658958 2.211973 3.064167 4.618045 7.843204 16.145591 58.492704
2025-10-05 1.620693 2.171008 3.026242 4.605133 7.949464 16.891592 67.837966
2025-10-12 1.601200 2.158334 3.034119 4.678542 8.261064 18.372225 86.815121
2025-10-19 1.589918 2.157910 3.062123 4.792388 8.684810 20.396136 120.325519